Is developing prospects random?

[scooter12321]

I have tried everything and have yet to figure out what really works. I have so many examples of players at one point were 100 peak prospects who i have spent #1 in farm and they never progressed past A ball, and many times end up peaking at 80 or less. I have some more examples of guys I played right ou of H.S. and they are about 50/50 wether or not they work out. Is there a pattern anywhere? or is it random who drops and who deveolps?

[taub89]

I imagine it's more random. There are many ballplayers who are projected to have solid careers after developing in the farm. However, how often do you get a homegrown player who's extremely talented, or above average for that matter? There are more Bill Pulsiphers than Alex Rodriguezes in this world.

[Edge]

I like that aspect of the game.

Sometimes i've had a kid who looks to be my next star and he just kind of floats around.

There have also been instances where a kid goes undrafted, i sign him as a free agent and they go on to have very servicable major league careers. Not necessarily superstars, but solid players.

[robinhoodnik]

I get aggravated by the high ability guys who do nothing for you for years and the season you trade 'em, they go nuts for thier new team. :mad:

[doggeral]

the alternative is not pretty. We had it the other way around and the talent levels in the leagues now finally seems accurate.

One thing I've noticed is that guys seem to hit a wall in the minors which would be accurate to real life. You have to call them up to grow any further. In essence you can't develop a superstar major leaguer in the minors that comes up and is the best player in the league the next season. Or I guess I should rephrase and say it looks like that happening would be extremely rare.

[phenixdragon]

It just seems like to me it takes way too long for it to happen. That is I am seeing players not really be good or productive until they are almost 30, then like what happens to everyone else is they fizzle out at about age 35. I haven't seen A-Rod been anything at that age where the season before he could have 80 homeruns.

[Sturge]

We have two young phenoms in Dabruins League.

My guy was Rookie of the year and MVP his first season at 19.